Bayram had the opportunity to choose between two investments. The first investment was described as having a 30% chance of succeeding, while the second investment was described as having a 70% chance of failing. Bayram opted for the first investment, because he thought it sounded less risky than the second investment. The chances of succeeding and failing are the same for the two investments, however, which implies that Bayram is subject to: overconfidence. a framing bias. a sunk cost fallacy. overvaluing the present relative to the future.
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