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23 February, 09:23

Suppose the real risk-free rate is 4.20%, the average expected future inflation rate is 2.50%, and a maturity risk premium of 0.10% per year to maturity applies, i. e., MRP = 0.10% (t), where t is the number of years to maturity, hence the pure expectations theory is NOT valid. What rate of return would you expect on a 4-year Treasury security? Disregard cross-product terms, i. e., if averaging is required, use the arithmetic average.

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  1. 23 February, 09:29
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    The rate of return that you would expect on a 4-year Treasury security is 7.10%

    Rate on return = real rate + inflation rate + per yr. maturity risk premium * T yrs. of maturity

    Explanation:

    The Formula for the

    Rate on return = Real rate + inflation rate + per yr. maturity risk premium * T yrs. of maturity

    Given, that

    Real risk free rate = 4.20%

    Inflation Rate=2.50%,

    Maturity Risk premium=0.10%

    Putting all the values in the above equation

    Rate of return = 4.20% + 2.50% + (0.10%*4)

    Rate of return=6.80%*4

    Rate of return = 7.10%

    The maturity risk premium is

    = 0.10% * 4

    = 0.40%

    In the above solution we have added the real rate, inflation rate and the maturity risk premium, so that we can arrive on the value of the rate on return of a treasury security.
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