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14 April, 07:50

Three fair coins are tossed. If all land "heads," the player wins $10, and if exactly two land heads, the player wins $5. If it costs $4 to play, what is the player's expected outcome after four games?

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  1. 14 April, 08:18
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    After four games, a player can lose up to $ 16 to win up to $ 26. These are the probabilities for every game:

    1/8 or 12.5% of landing three "heads"

    3/8 or 37.5% of landing two "heads"

    4/8 or 50% of landing no or only one "head".

    Step-by-step explanation:

    1. Let's review the information given to us to answer the question correctly:

    If three coins land "heads" the player wins $ 10

    If two coins land "heads" the player wins $ 5

    Cost of playing = $ 4

    2. What is the player's expected outcome after four games?

    Probability of two coins out of three lands "heads" = 3/8

    Probability of three coins out of three lands "heads" = 1/8

    Now, let's calculate the player's expected outcome, as follows:

    Four games:

    Cost = 4 * 4 = $ 16

    Worst-case scenario: No wins

    Best-case scenario: 4 out of 4 of $ 10 win

    Worst-case scenario profit or loss = 0 - 16 = Loss of $ 16

    Best-case scenario profit or loss = 40 - 16 = Profit of $ 24

    After four games, a player can lose up to $ 16 to win up to $ 26. These are the probabilities for every game:

    1/8 or 12.5% of landing three "heads"

    3/8 or 37.5% of landing two "heads"

    4/8 or 50% of landing no or only one "head".
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