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17 April, 04:31

The local weatherman reports that today the probability of rain is 0.45, the probability of a tornado is 0.35, and the probability of both is 0.12. What is the probability that it will rain today, given there is not a tornado?

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  1. 17 April, 04:32
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    probability that it will rain today, given there is not a tornado = 0.51

    Step-by-step explanation:

    We have to events in this question. Let:

    A = It will rain

    B = Tornado

    B' = No Tornado

    So, here we will use the conditional probability formula, which is given as:

    P (A|B') = P (A∩B') / P (B')

    where,

    P (A|B') = probability that it will rain today, given there is not a tornado = ?

    P (A∩B') = probability that it will rain and there will be no tornado

    P (A∩B') = P (A) - P (A∩B) = 0.45 - 0.12 = 0.33

    P (B') = Probability that there will be no tornado = 1 - P (B) = 1 - 0.35 = 0.65

    Therefore,

    P (A|B') = 0.33/0.65

    P (A|B') = 0.51
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