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23 April, 03:12

On a six-question multiple-choice test there are five possible answers for each question, of which one is correct (C) and four are incorrect (I). If a student guesses randomly and independently, find the probability of (a) Being correct only on questions 1 and 4 (i. e., scoring C, I, I, C, I, I). (b) Being correct on two questions.

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  1. 23 April, 03:31
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    (a) 1.64%

    (b) 24.58%

    Step-by-step explanation:

    As for each question there are one correct answer in five possible answers, the probability of guessing the correct answer is 1/5 = 0.2, so the probability of guessing the wrong answer is (1 - 0.2) = 0.8.

    (a) The probability of being correct only on questions 1 and 4 is calculated multiplying all the following probabilities:

    question 1 correct: 0.2

    question 2 wrong: 0.8

    question 3 wrong: 0.8

    question 4 correct: 0.2

    question 5 wrong: 0.8

    question 6 wrong: 0.8

    P = (0.2) ^2 * (0.8) ^4 = 0.0164 = 1.64%

    (b) The probability of being correct in two questions is calculated similarly to the question in (a), but now we also have a combination problem: The 2 correct questions can be any group of 2 questions inside the 6 total questions, so we also multiply the probability of each question being correct or wrong by the combination of 6 choose 2:

    C (6,2) = 6! / (4!*2!) = 6*5/2 = 15

    P = 15 * (0.2) ^2 * (0.8) ^4 = 0.2458 = 24.58%
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