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25 November, 03:55

The test to detect the presence of the hepatitis B virus is 97% accurate for a person who has the disease and 99% accurate for a person who does not have the disease. In a given population, 0.55% of the people are infected. The probability that a randomly chosen person gets an incorrect result is

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  1. 25 November, 04:00
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    0.0055*0.03+0.9945*0.01

    because 0.55% people are infected and inaccuracy of the test is 3%

    and rest 99.45% people are not infected and the inaccuracy of the test is 1%

    0.03 and 0.01 are the probability of an error being made in infected and uninfected respectively.

    0.01011 is t he probability that a randomly chosen person gets an incorrect result.
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