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20 April, 17:20

A certain system can experience three different types of defects. Let Ai (i = 1,2,3) denote the event that the system has a defect of type i. Suppose that the following probabilities are true.

P (A1) = 0.14

P (A2) = 0.10

P (A3) = 0.07

P (A1 ∪ A2) = 0.16

P (A1 ∪ A3) = 0.17

P (A2 ∪ A3) = 0.14

P (A1 ∩ A2 ∩ A3) = 0.02

a. What is the probability that the system does not have a type 1 defect? b. What is the probability that the system has both type 1 and type 2 defects? c. What is the probability that the system has both type 1 and type 2 defects but not a type 3 defect? d. What is the probability that the system has at most two of these defects?

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  1. 20 April, 17:21
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    a. 0.86

    b. 0.08

    c. 0.06

    d. 0.98

    Step-by-step explanation:

    a.

    The probability that system doesn't have type 1 defect is

    P (A1') = 1-P (A1) = 1-0.14=0.86

    Thus, the probability that system doesn't have type 1 defect is 86%.

    b.

    The probability that system have both type 1 defect and type 2 defect

    P (A1∩A2) = P (A1) + P (A1) - P (A1∪A2)

    P (A1∩A2) = 0.14+0.1-0.16=0.08

    Thus, the probability that system have both type 1 defect and type 2 defect is 8%.

    c.

    The probability that system have both type 1 defect and type 2 defect but not type 3 defect

    P (A1∩A2∩A3') = P (A1∩A2) - P (A1∩A2∩A3)

    P (A1∩A2∩A3') = 0.08-0.02=0.06

    Thus, the probability that system have both type 1 defect and type 2 defect but not type 3 defect is 6%.

    d.

    The probability that system has at most 2 defectives

    P (At most 2 defectives) = 1-P (3 defectives)

    P (3 defectives) = P (A1∩A2∩A3) = 0.02

    P (At most 2 defectives) = 1-P (3 defectives) = 1-0.02=0.98

    The probability that system has at most 2 defectives is 98%.
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