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2 September, 15:10

Let x represent the number of times a cat attempts to catch the nest of a bird in the wilderness in a given day. x is poisson distributed with expected value 5. consider 6 randomly chosen cats in the area. what is the exact probability that the total number of attempts of all 6 cats in a day is less than 3?

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  1. 2 September, 15:25
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    Given Poisson distribution, with E[x]=5.

    For one cat

    P (X<3)

    =P (X=0) + P (X=1) + P (x=2)

    =0.006738+0.033690+0.084224

    =0.124652

    Using tables, or according to formula

    P (x, λ ) = lambda^ (x) e^ (-lambda) / x!

    Assuming random and independent choice of cats, by the multiplication rule,

    Probability that all six cats will attempt less than three times

    = (0.124652019) ^6

    =0.00000375142193 ...
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